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【漁民系列】還有誰可以獨善其身嗎? 付費會員獨家

US Equities down another 10% last night, even after Fed’s massive liquidity injection. I understand the snow slide is due to massive deleveraging. We have seen this in year 2008; but today, the low interest rates globally with massive money printed in the last decade inflated the whole world’s leveraging even worse. Thus the sell-off pressure in US Equities when the mkt is forced to deleverage as Equities price no longer holds. The sell-off pressure has infected the liquidity (like the Covid virus), across all asset classes, including the most liquid asset: US cash Treasuries. This has NEVER happened in modern financial history in my limited memory.

【漁民系列】Has the US Equities Market formed a bottom?

Thanks all for the support on my article pre-Asia opened on March 9th , alerting volatilities in the Equities Mkt. We saw the first capitulation day that evening in US with the 2000 points drop in Dow Jones Index. With the expected fiscal stimulus (0% payroll tax this year) and Fed’s added liquidity, the mkt had a strong rebound of 1100 points in DJI last night. My Whatsapp this morning is blown with friends’ question: “Have we seen the US Equities bottom?”

【漁民系列】Don’t Fight the Bond, and 不要在油價面前逞強 付費會員獨家

Don’t Fight the Bond, and  不要在油價面前逞強

#漁Fool

本人拜讀莊博的心得多年，獲益良多；獲邀分享點滴觀察，受寵若驚，望拋磚引玉。

漁Fool年青時從事利率投資，已經提早退休十年，一直依靠平衡三大資產 (環球股票丶債券丶黃金)，有幸避過大跌浪，繼續養魚，賺到魚糧 (我不擅 長捉魚，只懂養魚)。

 

【名家給力場 - 2020年3月4日】

【Now財經台】聯儲局罕見緊急減息，市場照樣「無面俾」，美股昨晚仍要大跌。「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄指出，減息手段不能常用，減太多，反而令到市場憂慮經濟「係咪咁差」。佢亦指出，早前美股對疫情的反應有點「掉以輕心」，疫情下仍不斷創新高，現時終於「回歸現實」，市況開始反映疫情逐步擴散對環球經濟的衝擊，佢估計，美股市值偏貴前題下，大市可能仲有30%的下調空間，個別強勢科技股甚至要跌近50%，建議投資者不要咁快入市「搏反彈」。

【漁民系列】疫情下的內房產業 付費會員獨家

二月中、上旬，內地房地產顧問億翰智庫聯同房地產商會，向67家房企進行問卷調查，研究在肺炎疫情下房企的經營情況。受訪的企業，涵蓋大中小開發商，其中16家（24%）年銷售額達到1000億元人民幣以上，其餘的大部份是500億元以下。調研是在各地方政府出台政策為房企作不同程度鬆綁前，正好解釋了政策出台的原因。下面是調研的結果：